Prediction: AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre 22/11/2026

PREMATCH Ligue 1 – 11
AS Monaco FC
AS Monaco FC
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
22/11/2026
vs
00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
Back it now or wait?

The market moved AS Monaco FC from 1.37 out to 1.40 with the handicap parked at -1.25.

That signals AS Monaco FC cooling off — better to wait than enter early. At 77% confidence, the model leans to AS Monaco FC and around 3.1 goals on the night.

Confidence
82%
Total goals
3.2
Quick Pick
AS Monaco FC
AS Monaco FC
@ 1.40
Model edge Under +14.6%
Risk levelLow
Updated just now
Conclusion & action

Good signal — entry OK

Model confidence 82% with probability 68%, odds stable.

Strong signal
Watch odds
Tự cập nhật mỗi phút · Cập nhật:
✨ Dữ liệu vừa thay đổi
Biến động tỷ lệ
Tỷ lệ chấp -1.25
Mở
1.37
→
Hiện tại
1.40
→
Biến động
▲+2.2%
1.321.351.391.421.451.4012/11 11:3112/11 13:57
AI Insight

The market moved AS Monaco FC from 1.37 out to 1.40 with the handicap parked at -1.25. That signals AS Monaco FC cooling off — better to wait than enter early. At 77% confidence, the model leans to AS Monaco FC and around 3.1 goals on the night.

Dòng tiền (ước tính)
76%
24%
AS Monaco FCAJ Auxerre
Dự đoán tỷ số: 2 - 1 · Độ tự tin: 77%
Hành động hiện tạiGood signal — entry OK|Rủi ro Low

📊 Last 5 matches form

AS Monaco FCAS Monaco FC
DWLDW
AJ AuxerreAJ Auxerre
LLDWL

⚔️ Head-to-head history (4 matches)

2026-04-19AS Monaco FC2 - 2AJ Auxerre
2025-12-21AJ Auxerre1 - 2AS Monaco FC
2025-09-13AJ Auxerre1 - 2AS Monaco FC
2025-02-01AS Monaco FC4 - 2AJ Auxerre

🎯 Betting angle

✓ Recommended
AS Monaco FC -1.25 @ 1.40
Model confidence 77%, money has not rushed in too fast.
Over 3
Expected total goals 3.1 — the match leans open.
✗ Avoid

No major risk identified.

◆ Consider when
Watch 1-2 more checkpoints before kickoff
Odds are moving — wait for the lineup or for money flow to settle for a clearer entry.

👥 Predicted lineup PREDICTED

Updated 11:31
AS Monaco FC AS Monaco FC 4-2-3-1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký Lukáš Hrádecký G
20 Nazinho Nazinho D
72 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D
15 Eric Dier Eric Dier D
2 Vanderson Vanderson D
8 Lamine Camara Lamine Camara M
6 Denis Zakaria Denis Zakaria M
7 Mathys Detourbet Mathys Detourbet M
10 Aleksandr Golovin Aleksandr Golovin M
11 Matthis Abline Matthis Abline F
29 Paris Brunner Paris Brunner F
AJ Auxerre AJ Auxerre 3-4-2-1
23 Mamadou Diop Mamadou Diop G
22 Fredrik Oppegård Fredrik Oppegård D
92 Clement Akpa Clement Akpa D
4 Axel Tuanzebe Axel Tuanzebe D
27 Lamine Sy Lamine Sy D
15 Christ Makosso Christ Makosso D
5 Kévin Danois Kévin Danois M
8 Naouirou Ahamada Naouirou Ahamada M
9 Cameron Archer Cameron Archer F
10 Danny Namaso Danny Namaso F
21 Romain Faivre Romain Faivre M
Data Confidence
Lineup · Available at 11:31
Odds · Available at 13:57
Form · Available 5 matches
H2H · Available 4 matches

Betting Signals

  1. 1
    Official lineup announced High General

    Evidence: Lineup updated at 04:31

    Impact: Strongest pre-match confirmation signal; odds react fast after release

    Action: Cross-check with the latest odds shift before deciding

  2. 2
    AS Monaco FC playing at home Low Handicap

    Evidence: Match held at Stade Louis II.

    Impact: Slight lean toward home handicap; not a strong stand-alone signal

    Action: Combine with form + odds shift before betting

Standout Stats

AS Monaco FC AS
AJ Auxerre AJ
2W - 2D - 1L
Form (last 5)
1W - 1D - 3L
2.50
Goals scored (H2H avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (H2H avg)
2.50
50%
Win rate (last 10)
40%
3W - 1D - 0L
H2H (last 5)
0W - 1D - 3L
68%
Model win probability
13%

Advanced analysis

From last 5 matches stats + head-to-head

Goals & BTTS (H2H)

Both teams scored
100%
4/4matches
Over 2.5 goals
100%
4/4matches
Avg goals: 4.00 / matches

📋 Final pre-match signals

Check before placing your bet:

Official lineup ✓ Available
O/U line moves 3 → 3.25 Pending
New injury news Pending
Large money flow shift Pending

Detailed analysis AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre

AS Monaco FC face AJ Auxerre at 02:45 on 22/11/2026 in the Ligue 1, matchday 11.

Recent form is finely balanced, with both sides mixing results. Both attacks are tipped to fire — projected total of 3.2 goals.

The teams have met 4 times recently — a large enough sample for the head-to-head patterns to carry weight. On balance, the model leans clearly toward AS Monaco FC (77% confidence) with a projected 2-1.

Frequently asked questions

What time does AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre kick off? ▼

AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre kicks off at 02:45 on 22/11/2026 in the Ligue 1, matchday 11.

What is the predicted score for AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre? ▼

The Poisson model predicts 2-1, confidence 77%, risk low.

Should I back AS Monaco FC now or wait? ▼

Good signal — entry OK. Model confidence 82% with probability 68%, odds stable.

What is the Asian handicap for this match? ▼

Current Asian handicap: AS Monaco FC -1.25 @ 1.40. Opening odds 1.37, movement 2.2%.

📊 After the match, the actual result, win/loss outcome, and a re-evaluation of the call will be published here.

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