Prediction: Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC 22/11/2026
The market moved Newcastle United FC from 5.42 out to 5.61 with the handicap parked at +1.
The drift out shows confidence in Newcastle United FC easing — patience pays here. The model predicts Arsenal FC to win with 70% confidence, expected total goals 2.8.
Good signal — entry OK
Model confidence 72% with probability 60%, odds stable.
The market moved Newcastle United FC from 5.42 out to 5.61 with the handicap parked at +1. The drift out shows confidence in Newcastle United FC easing — patience pays here. The model predicts Arsenal FC to win with 70% confidence, expected total goals 2.8.
📊 Last 5 matches form
Newcastle United FCArsenal FC⚔️ Head-to-head history (5 matches)
🎯 Betting angle
No major risk identified.
👥 Predicted lineup PREDICTED
Updated 14:18 Newcastle United FC 4-2-3-1 Arsenal FC 4-2-3-1 
David Raya G 
Cristhian Mosquera D 
Declan Rice M 
Eberechi Eze M Betting Signals
- 1 Official lineup announced High General
Evidence: Lineup updated at 07:18
Impact: Strongest pre-match confirmation signal; odds react fast after release
Action: Cross-check with the latest odds shift before deciding
- 2 Newcastle United FC odds drifting wider Med 1×2
Evidence: Odds moved 5.42 → 5.61 (3.5%)
Impact: Newcastle United FC losing favor; may be negative news (injury / rotation)
Action: Wait for odds to stabilize before backing Newcastle United FC
- 3 Arsenal FC has a clear form edge Med 1×2
Evidence: Arsenal FC: 4W-1D-0L · Newcastle United FC: 1W-1D-3L (last 5)
Impact: Supports Arsenal FC on both 1×2 and handicap
Action: Back the handicap before the line gets too tight
- 4 Newcastle United FC playing at home Low Handicap
Evidence: Match held at St. James' Park
Impact: Slight lean toward home handicap; not a strong stand-alone signal
Action: Combine with form + odds shift before betting
Standout Stats
Newcastle Arsenal Advanced analysis
From last 5 matches stats + head-to-head
Goals & BTTS (H2H)
📋 Final pre-match signals
Check before placing your bet:
Detailed analysis Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC
Newcastle United FC face Arsenal FC at 00:30 on 22/11/2026 in the Premier League, matchday 11.
The form gap is stark: Arsenal FC have won 4 of 5 versus just 1 for Newcastle United FC. Both attacks are tipped to fire — projected total of 3.0 goals.
The teams have met 5 times recently — a large enough sample for the head-to-head patterns to carry weight. On balance, the model leans clearly toward Arsenal FC (70% confidence) with a projected 1-2.
Frequently asked questions
What time does Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC kick off? ▼
Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC kicks off at 00:30 on 22/11/2026 in the Premier League, matchday 11.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC? ▼
The Poisson model predicts 1-2, confidence 70%, risk medium.
Should I back Newcastle United FC now or wait? ▼
Good signal — entry OK. Model confidence 72% with probability 60%, odds stable.
What is the Asian handicap for this match? ▼
Current Asian handicap: Newcastle United FC +1 @ 5.61. Opening odds 5.42, movement 3.5%.
